In Play · Live Lake
LIVE BOARD & MODEL
The tournament as it happens — live leaderboard, the model re-solved on the current snapshot, real-time strokes-gained, and how every hole is playing. Win probabilities are fully field-aware and update with each shot the lake refreshes.
UP NEXTTOUR ChampionshipPre-tournamentsnapshot · 2026-08-30 6:00 PM
Live data is a single lake snapshot (no intra-round movement history). Win / top-finish / make-cut are 0–100% model probabilities given the current board and remaining holes.
Two different models appear on this page and they will not agree: the leaderboard’s
GK Win% is our own in-play model (the one
Fair Live is the fair price of), while the
In-Play (DataGolf) tab shows DataGolf’s in-play win / top-finish / make-cut probabilities. Both are honest 0–100% estimates of the same event; where they diverge, that is genuine model disagreement, not an error. On the leaderboard,
Pre is the model’s pre-tournament fair odds (frozen at tee-off),
Fair Live is the model re-solved on the live board and remaining holes (recalculated every refresh), and
Book is the best current sportsbook price.
HOT PUTTER flags a player whose round is carried by the putter (regression candidate);
STRIPING IT flags a tee-to-green-led round (more sustainable).
How the model works →