Head-to-head betting for The Memorial Tournament. Every tournament matchup, the best book price on each side, and the Golf King model fair line — with the value side highlighted when a book price beats the model. Build your own with the simulator below.
Custom Matchup Simulator
variance-aware · normal model on projected SG
Player A
Player B
Format
Win prob from the distribution of the SG difference over the chosen number of rounds, accounting for golf’s round-to-round variance. Single rounds are near coin-flips (high variance); 72 holes separate the field. Excludes cut effects and ties — sanity-check it against the market.
Head-to-Head Matchups
No 3-ball groupings in the current feed — showing 2-ball matchups. 3-balls will render here automatically when posted.
Model fair odds come from our head-to-head model (skill + course fit). The value side is the player whose best book price implies a lower probability than the model — i.e. the book is paying more than the model says it should. Edge Finder →
For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Please bet responsibly. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works →