Head-to-head betting for TOUR Championship. Every tournament matchup, the best book price on each side, the de-vigged consensus market probability of each side, and how far the best posted price sits above the field median. The model fair line is shown alongside as a projection — this site publishes no measured edge for golf matchups and nothing here says a side is worth backing. Build your own with the simulator below.
Win prob from the distribution of the SG difference over the chosen number of rounds, accounting for golf’s round-to-round variance. Single rounds are near coin-flips (high variance); 72 holes separate the field. Excludes cut effects and ties — sanity-check it against the market.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Market % is the books' own number with the vig removed: each book's two-sided pair is de-vigged and averaged across the books quoting the matchup. Price improv. vs median is 1/median − 1/best in implied-probability points — how much cheaper the same side is at the best book than at the consensus price. Both are comparisons between real posted prices. Fair is the head-to-head model projection (skill + course fit), shown for reference only; golf.db has zero graded matchup bets, so no edge is claimed for it and the board is not ordered by model-vs-market disagreement. Price Finder → · Shop the Line →
Tee-Time Groups (2 & 3-Balls)
Every actual playing group, with the Golf King model's projected chance each player is low man in the group, and — where a book posts that head-to-head — the best posted price beside it. This covers the full slate of 2- and 3-balls, not just the few the books bother to put up. The projection and the price are shown side by side and nothing is derived from the difference: golf.db holds zero graded matchup bets, so there is no measured edge to claim. Groups are listed by tee time. Win = lowest score in the group (Tie shown for 2-balls). Price Finder →
For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Please bet responsibly. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Methodology